Are home loan programs changing?

By Joel Persinger
YourRealEstateDude.com

Although we have relatively constant weather in San Diego County, that is not the case in many other parts of the country where there is an old saying, “If you don’t like the weather, wait five minutes.” Where my younger sister lives in Florida, this is most certainly true. One minute it’s raining and five minutes later there isn’t a cloud in the sky.

While you might think it far-fetched to use a weather analogy to describe the current home lending market, given our current market dynamics, we could easily adopt a similar saying such as, “If you don’t like the current loan market, wait five minutes.”

Just last Wednesday, my entire staff was present at a meeting presented by an expert in government loans such as those offered by VA, FHA and CalHFA. It was quite an eye-opener for an old real estate dude like me. Government loans have been out of the picture in San Diego County for more than a decade simply because there were better options to choose from. The government loans were available during that time. They just weren’t as attractive as the many non-government programs that were around. However, with the recent tightening of the non-government lending market, “Govi” loans have begun to shine a little brighter.

As the meeting progressed you could have read the shock on everyone’s faces as we discovered that 100% financing was still available using government loans such as CalHFA. For all practical purposes, 100% loans had become a thing of the past among non-government lenders. As a result, we couldn’t get over the fact that they were still possible using government loans. Well… that was on Wednesday. By Saturday CalHFA had announced that the rules had changed. “If you don’t like the weather…”

While many people like to watch the stock market, it is the bond market which has the most immediate effect upon home loan interest rates. Every day my email is jammed with hundreds of messages about the lending market in general: at least six or seven of which are short messages about the bond market which read like this, “The bond market is up by ___ basis points”, followed later in the day by, “The bond market is currently down by ____ basis points”, and so on. Each one of these six or seven daily shifts in the market effects the mortgage rates for that day. What a roller coaster. “You say you don’t like the weather? Just wait.”

So, with loan programs and interest rates that are moving targets at best, how is a borrower supposed to count on anything? It isn’t easy. One thing’s for sure, borrowers who chose to work with knowledgeable, experienced loan officers who have their ears to the ground and their noses to the grindstone are far better off. Now is not the time to be working with amateurs.