When Will The Market Get Better?

By Joel Persinger
YourRealEstateDude.com

At least three or for times a week someone will take me aside and ask me, “When will the market get better?” Of course I always find myself asking, “What do you mean by better?” and the answer is almost always equivalent to, “Back the way it was when things were good.” “Good” is the buzz word for the time a few years ago when prices were sky rocking upward and houses were selling so fast that real estate professionals could hardly hang up the “For Sale” signs before the properties were sold. Unfortunately, these good times were not normal and, as anyone who reads the paper can tell you, the prognosticators predict that such a market is not likely to return any time soon.

This very fact has brought about a burning in the bellies of many homeowners which is stoked by worry over declining home values and when, or even if those values will ever climb back to their previous highs. Real estate values, having experienced an unbelievably rapid increase over a short period of years, have dipped dramatically as the market has adjusted to that unprecedented, unrealistic and meteoric rise. As news persists of ever declining prices with no end in sight, more and more homeowners are starting to sweat.

Like any other market, real estate ebbs and flows. The tide comes in and the tide goes out. History has proven that it never comes in without later going out and it never goes out with later coming back in. The tide came in and stayed in for quite a while. Many people enjoyed swimming in the warm water and some, overcome by the euphoria of the times, foolishly braved those good days without sunscreen. Somehow, the tide staying in as long as it did protected them from getting burned. But once the tide went out, those who could no longer stay in the water started getting pretty hot and many have gotten themselves a might bad burn. It will take quite a long time for the pain caused by the changing tide to pass. But, pass it will and the tide will come in again. However, in the meantime this tide has left thousands of foreclosures and soon to be foreclosures behind on the sand.

When a market is flooded with distressed properties such as foreclosures, the owners of those properties sell them at a discount in order to move them quickly and thereby cut their losses. The result is that the values of surrounding properties which are not distressed are driven down as well. It will take many months for all those properties to be foreclosed upon and resold. In that time, banks will price them very low and continue to reduce the asking prices in order to get them sold fast. That will cause home values to continue their decline as this bloated inventory of distressed properties are reintroduced to the market.

So, how long will it take? Truthfully, no one really knows for sure. Most predictions I have heard have estimated that our current market will stick around for another year or two and that it may take eight to ten years until prices reach their previous highs. The only thing I know for certain is what anyone who has ever watched the tide at the sea shore can tell you. When the tide stays in a long time, it tends to stay out a long time as well. But, give it time. It will be back!